Saturday 14 September 2019

The Battle For Wales : Why Wales Should Not Enter England's Possible Civil War


Hello there. Hope you're feeling well today.

I have a link on my mobile to Microsoft's News service (it's a Nokia. Connected to Windows 10. And if that sounds impressive it isn't. They've stopped the model now). It alerts me to the news headlines. In truth I'm not sure how I arranged it. But from time to time the handset pings to reveal an article from a news organisation.

For the most part it's not that impressive. Telling me stuff I already know or stuff that I really didn't need to know. But a couple of days back it brought up an article that made me want to read it instantly.

By Alan Crawford on Bloomberg financial news agency dated September 12 entitled "Will Brexit Trigger The Nation's Next Civil War?"

(The link is here https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-09-12/will-brexit-trigger-england-s-second-civil-war)

Now I've raised the possibilities of right wing dictatorship in this blog many times. Also as this strand of posts obviously says I've mentioned a political battle in Wales between people who believe in independence and whatever the right wing turns out to be. But this English Centric article (though worth reading - Wales isn't mentioned once - Scotland and Northern Ireland mentioned once in passing) puts forward the possibility of a civil war within England as a consequence not just of Brexit but it also needs to be said the subsequent mess of British government negotiations afterwards.

The chances of such a scenario are slim. But it says enough about the Disunited Kingdom now that no one in 2019 could honestly say that it's not impossible. And that fact alone should make people step back and gaze at the mess in front of them.

After all we have a scenario now of a Prime Minister suspending Parliament and purging dissidents from his own policy. One of the greatest ironies of the media manipulation is where the right wing press will accuse Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn of wanting to bring in a Stalinist administration and yet it's Baboon Boris Johnson who has acted in this way.

Secondly Brexit is an issue that has caused division like no other in my lifetime. The issue arises passion on either side. Some people, whether previous friends or family members no longer talk to each other because of the arguments it has brought. That as history tells is as good an ingredient as you can get for that civil war stew.

Add to that shortages of food and medicines and increased political violence should Britain crash out with a no deal Brexit.

So then what if England is at war? What then? And given the title of this post. What should Wales do?

Wales is not in an easy position. It doesn't have the reunification option of Northern Ireland, nor did it vote to Remain in the EU referendum. The Brexit Party won most of the European Parliament elections in May but that doesn't really count as the Remain vote was split.

That all having been said though it does have the option of independence. Brexit might be the cause of an English civil war but let's be clear it will just be different facets of Unionism fighting with each other. If the Welsh Parliament declared independence from England and neutrality in such a conflict I would suspect that in such a scenario that  majority of people living in Wales would accept it. Firstly because they would not be involved in a war and secondly because what is the point in being in a  union disintegrating before your very eyes?

I have never said in this blog that independence will instantly make life better. And this scenario probably more than any other will be the most challenging. Still I would argue that messy independence would be far better than tying yourself to a country at civil war.

Until the next time.







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