Monday 27 May 2019

The Battle For Wales: It Begins....


Hello there. Hope you're feeling well today.

Well the results for the European elections are now known. In Wales The Brexit Party won. Basically hoovering up Conservative and UKIP votes. Unfortunately for those of us on the Remain side, the vote was split five ways. Though it should be noted that if you added the Pro Remain parties together the vote in a second referendum would have gone to stay in the EU. Fact.

However here in Wales there has been another focus. Not just that The Brexit Party won, but that the Labour party, victor on every national election for about a century, came third. Plaid Cymru came second.

So let's be clear. Of the disaffected Welsh Labour voter the majority voted Plaid Cymru.

Now the Labour party in Wales will try and shrug it off. Just like Alun "Chucky" Cairns' equally disastrously performing Welsh Conservatives will do. And just like the Conservatives they will use their current political power to entice voters back. But it's Plaid and not The Brexit Party that Welsh Labour will worry about, have always worried about. Because they know that the dissatisfied core Labour voter will consider Plaid Cymru before it considers any other party. Ask yourself why it is that on a Welsh level Labour always attack Plaid Cymru at a Welsh level more than any other party? Because this is their nightmare. And these results are the first national confirmation of it.

It is why that on Twitter I've seen Welsh Labour party members blame Westminster, Corbyn and Corbyn's disciple First Minister Mark Drakeford. But let's not be under any illusions. Drakeford may worship Corbyn but Welsh Labour follows Westminster like any other branch office. And if you act like a sheep what do you expect?

I've also noticed that Carwyn Jones blamed the split in the Remain vote. Well yes. But of course at time of writing that tweet Labour are a Brexit party. Does that mean the former First Minister wanted people not to vote Labour?

I've put forward the notion in this blog that Wales is slowly moving towards a political battle between Plaid Cymru and whatever right-wing force eventually evolves. The dinosaurs of the Welsh Conservative and Labour parties will be around and like the actual dinosaurs will still have power. (For example whoever the next Tory sub Prime Minister that person is likely to move towards a no deal Brexit - a disaster for Wales). But that power is weakening. Disaffected voters are looking for an alternative. And in Wales only Plaid Cymru have "that vision thing". That vision being independence.

After all what are the alternatives? The Libdems? What have they done for Wales recently except prop up the current Labour administration in the Welsh parliament? Change UK? A spent force already. The Greens? As discussed they were happy to call themselves the party of England and Wales in a vote in their party. Willingly allowing themselves to be eaten up (veganly I'm sure) by the English office.

These other parties will just be too weak and polite to fight whatever right wing force emerges.

And for those who say the Welsh owe Labour their support I say that was then and this is now. Welsh Labour have been living off past glories for years now. This was the first national election where you got the feeling that the Welsh voter felt that their debt to Labour has been paid. Welsh Labour as I've explained in this blog have been arrogantly incompetent through the years and this was the first national election where they have been truly punished for it.

So it comes back to Plaid Cymru.

The battle begins....

Until the next time.






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